Bitcoin Can Hit $16k But Only If This Resistance Level Finally Breaks

Now imagine that the ball, in mid-flight, changes to a bowling ball. This extra force, if applied on the way up, will push the ball through the resistance level; on the way down, it will push the ball through the support level. Either way, extra force, or enthusiasm from either the bulls or bears, is needed to break through the support or resistance. Most experienced traders can share stories about how certain price levels tend to prevent traders from pushing the price of an underlying asset in a certain direction. For example, assume that Jim was holding a position in stock between March and November and that he was expecting the value of the shares to increase.

A sideways trend signifies low volatility and is generally accompanied by a low volume of trading while market players anticipate a major breakthrough in either up or down in price. There are three main trends to observe within bitcoin charts, namely bearish, bullish and sideways. However, bearish and bullish are mere “sentiments” and may be subject to quick and drastic change like in the case of the 2008 mortgage crisis.

Similar to the chart presented above, Pentosh1 outlines the main support area at 57.5%, suggesting that a breakdown below it could trigger an accelerated fall. The descent that followed has taken the BTCD near the main support area at 57.5%. A breakdown below the 57.5% area would likely trigger a sharp drop.

Support: Entry Trade

Here is where emotions play a major role in dictating the market’s behavior. If the market is tanking, investors will get scared and panic sell their Bitcoin further fueling the price drop. Opposingly, if Bitcoin’s value begins to rise steeply, a rush of new investors enter the market attempting to catch the next bull run. In technical market analysis, you focus on a coin’s price specifically. This strategy requires you to utilize technical indicators and ignore outside variables contributing to the price.

Eventually, this scenario leads to speculation fueled by FOMO . As such, Bitcoin experiences short swings throughout the week on a regular basis. A retrace is when Bitcoin’s market movement begins to return to its original state prior to the market activity. In most instances, a retrace will return to 30% – 60% of the original market value.

Bitcoin Can Hit $16k But Only If This Resistance Level Finally Breaks

This is followed by $60,000, $61,780 , $62,170 (1.414 Fib Extension), and $65,000. The question is whether Bitcoin will plunge further than the healthy 0.382 Fib level correction ($54.5K). If so, the mentioned above neckline will be the next critical level of support for the buyers to defend.

Bitcoin Can Hit $16k But Only If This Resistance Level Finally Breaks

Candlestick charts provide you with everything you need to know to understand the current state of the market value of an asset. You can see the opening and closing prices, the daily high and low, and you can decide on what time intervals you what this information displayed. Technical analysis requires you to utilize a combination of tools to predict if the price of Bitcoin will rise or fall. Importantly, technical analysis provides you with more insight into the market. Consequently, the better you are at it, the more success you will have trading. Here are some key concepts you need to understand to simplify your technical analysis. You can study up on some of the greatest stock traders in the world, and you will give yourself an amazing edge in the market.

The value of your asset reflects the sum of all the hopes, fears, and expectations of all the market. News such as future regulations, major institutional adoption, and the introduction of new financial products all play a major role in the pricing of Bitcoin. In this phase, early investors begin to reintroduce their accumulated holdings to the public. These investors already realized a profit and now they are exiting their positions before the trend reverses. This exit causes the emergence of a swing that creates a price retrace in the market. Untrained investors are left with the holdings of those that were ahead of the trend. Notably, this phase is difficult to detect as the market movements are minimal.

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Candlestick charts provide you with a plethora of information at just a glance. You will notice the red and green candlesticks are laid in succession. Importantly, each candle shows you the price movement of an asset over the selected timeframe. You can examine the market cap to gain a deeper insight into the stability of an asset. Websites such as provide you with real-time analytics in the form of a line chart. In the case of Bitcoin, you will notice that over the last 9 years the asset has gained considerable value.

Rather than being an exact number, resistance and support exist as levels of approximately +-5% of a particular price which can be more efficiently determined by looking at the volume and other factors. If a price level has been touched multiple times but hasn’t been broken through, it is a strong identifier of being a key support or resistance. The rapid increase in demand, as well as a decrease in supply, will cause a spike in the price – known as a ‘break out’. If an asset does breach its resistance level, then some traders believe it will carry on rising in price, or ‘rally’, until a new resistance level is found. At this point, it is common for the resistance level to become the new support level. Support and resistance can be determined in many different ways.

Price Charts And Technical Analysis

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break back through to $37,000 levels. Falling well short of the first major resistance level at $40,389, Bitcoin slid to a Friday intraweek low $28,989.0.

There are various methods that you can use to find support and resistance levels. Technical analysis is a practical approach that focuses only on the price of an asset and the trading volume. Indeed, the support level is the asset’s selling price, which a large number of traders consider knocked down relative to its actual value at the moment. At such a “low” price for an asset, a many traders are ready to buy it.

We also find support and resistance in the form of psychological numbers. These are nice round numbers at which points people are inclined to take profits from their trades, as big, round numbers numbers are often used as price targets.

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This means that the price is more likely to “bounce” off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has breached this level, by an amount exceeding some noise, it is likely to continue falling until meeting another support level. If bitcoin stays above the $18,800 support level and the 100 hourly SMA, there could be a fresh increase. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near $18,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $18,083 swing low to $19,450 swing high. The order could either be a stop sell, limit sell or market sell, depending on the trader’s urgency of entering the position, his or her risk tolerance, and on where the price is currently within its range.

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When prices keep bouncing off a support or resistance level, more buyers and sellers notice and will base trading decisions on these levels. For example, as you can see from the Newmont Mining Corp chart below, a trendline can provide support for an asset for several years. In this case, notice how the trendline propped up the price of Newmont’s shares for an extended period of time. The examples above show a constant level prevents an asset’s price from moving higher or lower. This is whythe concepts of trending and trendlines are important when learning about support and resistance.

Bitcoin charts are necessary for traders and investors to decide how they want to interact with the market. Charts provide crucial information to trace bitcoin’s present and historic price action. They may seem daunting without prior understanding of what to analyse. However, if you learn to read between the lines, you’ll start to recognise trends and patterns that help explain price movements. Once we find the support and resistance levels using all methods, we combine all the levels to select the more important ones. The most important are those levels who coincide when using different methods.

Breakout Above Resistance: Entry Trade

Compared to the traditional markets that operate for specific periods, crypto markets that are active 24/7 make the market analysis more intricate. As an investor, it could be slightly challenging to identify every support and resistance level for prolonged periods. Supportis a price level in the trading chart beyond which an asset will not decline or fall. It is assumed that support level is a price point at which buyers are more inclined to purchase, and sellers are hesitant to sell, thereby pushing demand higher and the asset price along with it. A breakout is the movement of the price of an asset through an identified level of support or resistance. Breakouts are used by some traders to signal a buying or selling opportunity. The more times the price tests a support or resistance area, the more significant the level becomes.

Mary Davis
My name is Mary Davis. I am successful broker. I want to share my experience with you through tutorials and webinars. For any questions of interest, please contact us by e-mail: [email protected] +1 973-709-5130


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